Marriage will probably remain later
If the long-term movement continues at a slower pace, median first-marriage age may reach roughly 31–32 for men and 29.5–30.5 for women by the mid-2030s.
Cohabitation will probably keep growing
Growth is likely to remain concentrated among ages 25–44, with important percentage growth among adults over 50 and especially later-life partners.
Marriage rates may remain historically low
A reasonable scenario is a crude marriage rate near 5.5–6.5 per 1,000, subject to economic conditions, housing costs, migration and delayed weddings.
Divorce rates may remain low or decline slowly
A plausible scenario is a crude rate near 2.2–2.7 per 1,000, but missing state reports and changing population composition limit precision.
Later-life relationship needs will expand
Population aging will increase the importance of remarriage, companionship, caregiving, blended families, widowhood, financial planning and conflict management after age 50.
Couple diversity will continue increasing
Same-sex, interracial, intercultural, mixed-nativity and nontraditional residential arrangements are likely to represent a growing share of American couple life.
